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Collect Opinions Independently Before Group Discussion

by Annie Duke on May 2, 2024

The power of independent discovery in decision-making comes from separating the three phases of group decisions: discover, discuss, decide. This approach prevents groupthink and ensures all voices are heard.

Rethinking Meeting Structure

  • Most meetings try to accomplish three things simultaneously, which undermines decision quality:

    • Discover: Finding out what people think
    • Discuss: Talking about those ideas
    • Decide: Making a choice based on the discussion
  • The fundamental problem: Only the discussion part should happen in meetings

    • When discovery happens in real-time, the loudest or most senior voices dominate
    • People conform their opinions to match others, especially those with authority
    • The true range of perspectives narrows dramatically

The Nominal Group Technique

  • Collect opinions independently before any group discussion:

    • Send questions to participants before meetings
    • Have people submit responses privately (via forms, sheets, etc.)
    • Ensure people can't see others' responses until all are collected
    • Compile and distribute all responses before the meeting
  • Benefits of independent discovery:

    • Reveals the true spread of opinions across the team
    • Prevents people from anchoring to the first or loudest opinion
    • Surfaces ideas that would otherwise remain unspoken
    • Creates a record of initial thinking for later reflection

Implementation Examples

  • For product roadmap planning:

    • Ask everyone to independently rank potential features
    • Request 3-5 sentence rationales for their rankings
    • Share all responses before the meeting
    • Focus discussion on areas of disagreement
  • For timeline estimation:

    • Collect point estimates, lower bounds, and upper bounds independently
    • Have people explain their reasoning
    • Use the meeting to explore differences in assumptions
  • For real-time decisions:

    • When new questions arise in meetings, pause
    • Have everyone write down their thoughts independently
    • Then share and discuss

The Discussion Phase

  • Make people feel heard through active listening:

    • Reflect back what people say without judgment
    • "I just want to make sure I understood what you said..."
    • Don't express agreement or disagreement during this phase
    • Call on everyone to ensure all perspectives are shared
  • Focus on understanding rather than convincing:

    • People should convey why they believe what they do
    • Not try to convince others they're right
    • Avoid interrupting or saying "you're wrong"

The Decision Phase

  • Decisions should also happen independently of the meeting:

    • Use a designated decision-maker model when possible
    • Or have people vote privately after the discussion
    • Don't force consensus or "alignment"
  • Accept that disagreement is normal and healthy:

    • People don't need to agree to move forward
    • Acknowledge that different perspectives will remain
    • Use "nevertheless" to acknowledge input while moving forward