Collect Opinions Independently Before Group Discussion
by Annie Duke on May 2, 2024
The power of independent discovery in decision-making comes from separating the three phases of group decisions: discover, discuss, decide. This approach prevents groupthink and ensures all voices are heard.
Rethinking Meeting Structure
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Most meetings try to accomplish three things simultaneously, which undermines decision quality:
- Discover: Finding out what people think
- Discuss: Talking about those ideas
- Decide: Making a choice based on the discussion
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The fundamental problem: Only the discussion part should happen in meetings
- When discovery happens in real-time, the loudest or most senior voices dominate
- People conform their opinions to match others, especially those with authority
- The true range of perspectives narrows dramatically
The Nominal Group Technique
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Collect opinions independently before any group discussion:
- Send questions to participants before meetings
- Have people submit responses privately (via forms, sheets, etc.)
- Ensure people can't see others' responses until all are collected
- Compile and distribute all responses before the meeting
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Benefits of independent discovery:
- Reveals the true spread of opinions across the team
- Prevents people from anchoring to the first or loudest opinion
- Surfaces ideas that would otherwise remain unspoken
- Creates a record of initial thinking for later reflection
Implementation Examples
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For product roadmap planning:
- Ask everyone to independently rank potential features
- Request 3-5 sentence rationales for their rankings
- Share all responses before the meeting
- Focus discussion on areas of disagreement
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For timeline estimation:
- Collect point estimates, lower bounds, and upper bounds independently
- Have people explain their reasoning
- Use the meeting to explore differences in assumptions
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For real-time decisions:
- When new questions arise in meetings, pause
- Have everyone write down their thoughts independently
- Then share and discuss
The Discussion Phase
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Make people feel heard through active listening:
- Reflect back what people say without judgment
- "I just want to make sure I understood what you said..."
- Don't express agreement or disagreement during this phase
- Call on everyone to ensure all perspectives are shared
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Focus on understanding rather than convincing:
- People should convey why they believe what they do
- Not try to convince others they're right
- Avoid interrupting or saying "you're wrong"
The Decision Phase
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Decisions should also happen independently of the meeting:
- Use a designated decision-maker model when possible
- Or have people vote privately after the discussion
- Don't force consensus or "alignment"
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Accept that disagreement is normal and healthy:
- People don't need to agree to move forward
- Acknowledge that different perspectives will remain
- Use "nevertheless" to acknowledge input while moving forward