Boring Businesses Have Less Competition
by Andrew Wilkinson on July 3, 2025
Choosing boring, unflashy sectors lowers competition and increases chances of building a profitable company.
The "Fish Where the Fish Are" Principle for Business Ideas
Charlie Munger's advice to "fish where the fish are" forms the foundation of a strategic approach to finding profitable business opportunities:
- Look for small fishing holes with lots of fish and very little competition rather than crowded markets
- Competition equals lower margins - the more competitors, the lower your prices must be
- Seek industries where few people naturally gravitate toward
Why Boring Businesses Often Outperform Exciting Ones
- Most people chase flashy, exciting business ideas (restaurants, cafes, project management software)
- Boring businesses face dramatically less competition:
- "Nobody wakes up every morning and says I'd love to start a funeral home or a pest control business"
- Example: A business making $30M/year helping people fill out government assistance forms
- "Nobody wakes up and goes I wanna make form filling software but I think they would if they could make $20M a year"
The Deadlift Analogy for First-Time Entrepreneurs
- "You don't wanna walk into the gym on day one and try and deadlift 300 pounds"
- First businesses should be simple with quick feedback loops:
- Web design agency worked immediately - send invoice, do work, get paid
- Avoid highly regulated, competitive industries for your first venture
- Start with "baby weights" and gradually build business muscle
Identifying Profitable Niches Within Your Interests
- Find your passion, then locate the profitable angle within it:
- Example: "I love movies" → discovered Letterboxd (social network for film reviewers) had a network effect moat
- Example: Restaurant owner noticed vendors servicing restaurants were "making a killing"
- Example: Pivoting from managing social media for restaurants ($1000/month) to realtors/wealth managers ($5000/month)
Characteristics of Great Business Models
-
Businesses with moats:
- Strong brand that gives pricing power (Coca-Cola, Tylenol)
- Network effects where each new user makes the product more valuable (Letterboxd, social networks)
- High switching costs (though less consumer-friendly)
-
Businesses that are "hard to mess up":
- Not dependent on a single person
- Not "held together with dental floss and duct tape"
- Can withstand management changes
-
Businesses with unfair advantages:
- Leverage your unique skills/background (the "Venn diagram" approach)
- Use existing assets to bootstrap new ventures (advertising new businesses on owned media properties)
Common Business Idea Mistakes
- "The biggest mistakes I've made have been going into business models where other people have repeatedly failed and thinking I can do this better"
- Underestimating the complexity of seemingly simple businesses (restaurants, bars)
- Competing directly with venture-backed companies as a bootstrapped business
- Creating a job rather than a business (failing to scale beyond yourself)