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Boring Businesses Have Less Competition

by Andrew Wilkinson on July 3, 2025

Choosing boring, unflashy sectors lowers competition and increases chances of building a profitable company.

The "Fish Where the Fish Are" Principle for Business Ideas

Charlie Munger's advice to "fish where the fish are" forms the foundation of a strategic approach to finding profitable business opportunities:

  • Look for small fishing holes with lots of fish and very little competition rather than crowded markets
  • Competition equals lower margins - the more competitors, the lower your prices must be
  • Seek industries where few people naturally gravitate toward

Why Boring Businesses Often Outperform Exciting Ones

  • Most people chase flashy, exciting business ideas (restaurants, cafes, project management software)
  • Boring businesses face dramatically less competition:
    • "Nobody wakes up every morning and says I'd love to start a funeral home or a pest control business"
    • Example: A business making $30M/year helping people fill out government assistance forms
    • "Nobody wakes up and goes I wanna make form filling software but I think they would if they could make $20M a year"

The Deadlift Analogy for First-Time Entrepreneurs

  • "You don't wanna walk into the gym on day one and try and deadlift 300 pounds"
  • First businesses should be simple with quick feedback loops:
    • Web design agency worked immediately - send invoice, do work, get paid
    • Avoid highly regulated, competitive industries for your first venture
    • Start with "baby weights" and gradually build business muscle

Identifying Profitable Niches Within Your Interests

  • Find your passion, then locate the profitable angle within it:
    • Example: "I love movies" → discovered Letterboxd (social network for film reviewers) had a network effect moat
    • Example: Restaurant owner noticed vendors servicing restaurants were "making a killing"
    • Example: Pivoting from managing social media for restaurants ($1000/month) to realtors/wealth managers ($5000/month)

Characteristics of Great Business Models

  1. Businesses with moats:

    • Strong brand that gives pricing power (Coca-Cola, Tylenol)
    • Network effects where each new user makes the product more valuable (Letterboxd, social networks)
    • High switching costs (though less consumer-friendly)
  2. Businesses that are "hard to mess up":

    • Not dependent on a single person
    • Not "held together with dental floss and duct tape"
    • Can withstand management changes
  3. Businesses with unfair advantages:

    • Leverage your unique skills/background (the "Venn diagram" approach)
    • Use existing assets to bootstrap new ventures (advertising new businesses on owned media properties)

Common Business Idea Mistakes

  • "The biggest mistakes I've made have been going into business models where other people have repeatedly failed and thinking I can do this better"
  • Underestimating the complexity of seemingly simple businesses (restaurants, bars)
  • Competing directly with venture-backed companies as a bootstrapped business
  • Creating a job rather than a business (failing to scale beyond yourself)